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(Complete withdrawal from Ukraine (Crimea and the Donbas)) - 'Kyiv’s allies are helping, but it isn’t nearly enough.'

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'The West has been too slow, and the need to even out the artillery disparity is urgent. Long-range artillery in particular has the potential to “change the war’s direction,” Mr. Mamulashvili says'

'..as Kyiv makes the transition from Soviet-era equipment to NATO weaponry, it becomes wholly reliant on Western support. Ukraine needs weapons systems and ammunition “like, yesterday,” says Brig. Gen. Hennadi Shapovalov, who oversees military cooperation between the Ukrainian armed forces and its Western partners. In his assessment, the delays are “completely a political problem.” Poland, Slovakia and the Baltics have responded to the war with appropriate urgency, he says. The U.S. has been supportive but slow to act. Germany’s hesitation has been particularly frustrating, though there have been recent signs of improvement.

..

Ukrainian officials say they need about 100 Himars. Meanwhile, a U.S. Senate source told me the tranche that included the first four Himars included fewer than 20 missiles per launcher, though a subsequent tranche included significantly more. The Biden administration has said it would provide additional ammunition but hasn’t disclosed specifics.

With less ammunition to use, “the Ukrainians have to be much more careful, much more selective, and they can’t hit the same number of targets,” says Fred Kagan, director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. The Russians often have multiple posts behind the front line performing the same supportive functions, so even a successful Ukrainian strike on a target may not cause much disruption.

..

The West has been too slow, and the need to even out the artillery disparity is urgent. Long-range artillery in particular has the potential to “change the war’s direction,” Mr. Mamulashvili says. “We are still standing and waiting when the United States and other countries will help defend democracy. . . . We are still waiting and going through bureaucracy. We could put one camera on the front line and let politicians see how many people will die during their hesitation.”'

- Kyiv’s allies are helping, but it isn’t nearly enough, July 12, 2022



Context

(Complete withdrawal from Ukraine (Crimea and the Donbas)) - '..in Russian doctrine, if batteries fall silent, you are done..'