'[Ukraine has] more manpower overall .. one million [soldiers] .. but we still lack armored vehicles and heavy weapons .. [Ukraine needs] more rocket artillery systems, more reconnaissance systems, means of mobility, and communication means to be able to coordinate all this mass. And of course air defense .. [and] we need more means of mobility — to conduct a real maneuver war after a breakthrough of the tactical depth of defense.''
So Ukraine has more troops than Russians now?We have more manpower overall; for the 200,000-250,000 deployed Russians we have one million .. but we still lack armored vehicles and heavy weapons..
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How long will Ukraine be able to sustain this momentum? Do you think that all the occupied territories will be liberated this way, or should we count on something else?I don’t rule out that after they try to plug the hole and form a new frontline which will be to the east of the Oskil water reservoir, the front may become imbalanced in other directions. It all depends on two things:
1) if Ukraine’s command can quickly identify where the enemy has gotten weaker;
2) if we will have enough strength, especially enough mobility.
In this offensive, all the significance of soldiers being on at least some armored wheels, for them to be able to quickly maneuver, quickly move along roads, not even entering settlements but quickly cutting off supply lines. So if they can quickly identify where the enemy has become weaker they will try to once again carry out an offensive operation.
Overall, we shouldn’t overestimate Ukraine’s ability to quickly turn the tide in its favor. Although I think psychologically this victory will have a great effect; it will contribute to the demoralization of Russians, and then winter will start, and I think the Russian army will come out of it totally demoralized.
Apart from armored vehicles, what does the Ukrainian Army need now?More rocket artillery systems, more reconnaissance systems, means of mobility, and communication means to be able to coordinate all this mass. And of course air defense, because the enemy is trying to actively employ aviation. The list remains stable. And now we see how important means of mobility are, for them to be able to quickly move, quickly identify gaps in the combat order and reach the maximal frontiers, and thus turn tactical successes into operational successes. Because this is now objectively an operational success, with a breakthrough depth of 75km, this is phenomenal for only four days. And this powerful flank strike, this threat for Izium and everything that the Russians have there — we see why we need more means of mobility — to conduct a real maneuver war after a breakthrough of the tactical depth of defense.'
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Ukraine’s counteroffensive near Kharkiv: what enabled the Balakliia blitzkrieg, September 11, 2022
Context(Complete withdrawal from Ukraine (Crimea and the Donbas)) - 'If Ukraine succeeds in receiving the appropriate weapons, operational and strategic prospects for 2023 will look totally different..'(The Elders) - Russia's war on Ukraine is a moral outrage