'The challenge is providing Ukraine with sufficient relative advantage to enable offensive operations under changed conditions in 2023. Unlikely to be solved by any single capability, but through a combination of means, organizational adaptations, and changes in force employment.''Arguably, UA is better served absorbing the RU attack & exhausting RU offensive potential, then taking the initiative later this spring. Having expended ammunition, better troops, and equipment it could leave RU defense overall weaker. 21/
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The challenge is providing Ukraine with sufficient relative advantage to enable offensive operations under changed conditions in 2023. Unlikely to be solved by any single capability, but through a combination of means, organizational adaptations, and changes in force employment.
Adding a comment in response to questions on mobilization. My sense is RU is preparing a follow on mobilization wave, and we will see it eventually, but doubt it will be for this offensive, or at ~500k. I'm skeptical they can equip or sustain another wave at this stage.'
- Michael Kofman (
Source, February 6, 2023)
'..with F-16s from our own and others’ large holdings of inactive planes..''The United States should help reequip the Ukrainian air force—remarkably, still flying and flying effectively in the teeth of Russian air defenses—with F-16s from our own and others’ large holdings of inactive planes..'
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(The liberation of Crimea and the Donbas) - Russia’s war on Ukraine need not end in negotiationContextThe Case Against Incrementalism - '..an obvious policy recommendation for the West: help Ukraine win as fast as possible.' - Michael McFaul'Even the Pope .. compared the war in Ukraine to the Nazi genocide of the Jews.'(Russia a state sponsor of terrorism) - China Aids Russia’s War in Ukraine, Trade Data Shows(Help Ukraine take back its territory) - '..There are an estimated 2,000 German-made Leopard tanks .. across Europe..'