overview

Advanced

Putin Wouldn’t Win a War of Attrition in Ukraine

Posted by archive 
'..The U.S. is supplying weapons to Ukraine at a remarkably slow pace .. What [Putin] likely most fears is the U.S. and its allies slamming the accelerator..'

'..the longer the conflict drags on, the worse things get for Moscow.

Vladimir Putin seeks to prevail in Ukraine through an exhausting war of attrition in which he outlasts his opponents, or so the expert consensus has it. The U.S. is supplying weapons to Ukraine at a remarkably slow pace, perhaps for fear of provoking a calamitous Russian escalation. It seems as if Washington is playing right into Mr. Putin’s hands.

But maybe not everything is as it seems. If I learned anything from decades as a Russian-speaking Central Intelligence Agency operations officer working against the Kremlin’s intelligence services, it was to be wary of anything they show you. This looks to me too convenient a narrative for Moscow, and one that’s belied by the facts.

..

.. the longer the war endures, the worse things get for Moscow. Time allows Ukraine to deploy the sophisticated weapons now en route and the freshly trained Ukrainian operators returning from the West. More time will also enable the increased productivity of ammunition supply chains the U.S. is building. Add it all up, and Ukraine will likely have what’s needed for its much-anticipated counteroffensive..

..

What he likely most fears is the U.S. and its allies slamming the accelerator..'

- Douglas London, Putin Wouldn’t Win a War of Attrition in Ukraine, March 24, 2023


Context '..send F-16s to Ukraine..'

(The risk of escalation is overblown) - '..the West’s overarching goal must be ensuring that the Russian tyrant gains nothing by his aggression..'

(Putin's War) - Western Business Is Still Sustaining Russia's War

(Ukraine) - '..the UAF needs long-range missiles for the offensive..'


'..the priority is to make Crimea untenable for Russia first..'

ICC .. arrest warrants against Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin and Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova

(Putin's War) - 'What are Ukraine's borders? .. they’re internationally recognized and defined in 1991.' - Navalny