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'Russia's position in Syria is collapsing like the US position in Iraq did during the Obama Administration era ISIL/ISIS offensives.'
- Trent Telenko (Source, November 30, 2024)
'Pro-Russian/Pro-Syrian accounts on X seem to be a little behind on battlefield developments in Syria.
Assad SAA forces cannot be holding a defense line at Hama, if large columns of Syrian
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Archive 'By all means, ignore the word of the former president of Estonia. I agree with him. The U.S. has enough leverage now to push Russia over the edge towards economic collapse if it chooses to
It’s not there yet, it needs a shove. The U.S. has enough to shove.'
- Prune60 (Source , November 9, 2024)
Context
(Ukraine can win this war) - The Northern Group-Ukraine format
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Archive 'Twelve European countries and Ukraine have established a new defense cooperation format.
The Northern Group-Ukraine format includes Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Iceland, the Baltic countries, as well as the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, and Poland.'
- Roman Sheremet (Source, November 21, 2024)
Context (Russia, a fascist imperialist regime, must lose) - 'It is nor
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Archive 'The Russian railway system is now falling apart. 2/
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The Russian rail system collapse sequence is as follows:
1st trains on remote Russian rail lines derail.
2nd more Russian trains on lines closer to Moscow derail.
3rd the Russian repair trains derail on the way to open derailments. 9/
4th we see triage as the Russian rail system starts collapsing on a LARGE SCALE.
5
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Archive '..if Ukraine were helped and kept in the fight with the strong support of its partners, Russia would have real troubles in less than a year .. So, once again, Ukraine can win this war, but not on its own. Russia remains a weak economic power that cannot expand production significantly. The choice we face, which will become increasingly a European one I fear, is whether we do want Ukraine to
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Archive 'Europe can still play an important role in the outcome of this war, but it really has to start standing up now .. expect the USA to be useless.
But thankfully Ukraine is not—it is taking an extreme toll on the Russians—and hoping that Europe steps up to the plate and eats a little meat.'
'..The US was unable to dictate the end of the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Invasion
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Archive 'OK, Trump has won and the GOP will be more powerful than before. Europe should have been preparing for this for years (at least months) but it hasn't. I put together this piece starting a discussion by focussing on just two of the many questions that need to be faced now.
These are:
1) How does Europe keep Ukraine supplied and fighting effectively without the USA
2) How does Europ
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Archive 'The President of Georgia has announced that the parliamentary elections were falsified. Europe must now stand with the Georgian people.'
- Radek Sikorski (Source, October 27, 2024)
Context
'If Ukraine wins, the whole tide of the anti-democratic movement can be halted and reversed.'
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Archive 'An article worthy of respect. The Biden policy on Ukraine has been a global disaster. He had a chance to commit to democracy and NATO, and he blew it..'
- Prof. Phillips P. O’Brien (Source, October 26, 2024)
'How much of this could have been prevented? Some developments, such as the China-Russia axis and rising rightwing populism, were happening anyway. The war simply acce
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Archive '..the Russian military remains more than beatable if Ukraine’s partners wanted to help Ukraine beat it..'
'Ukraine represents a chance for renewal for Europe, a reassertion of the values of openness and democracy with which it was rebuilt after 1945. If Ukraine wins, the whole tide of the anti-democratic movement can be halted and reversed.
However, if Ukraine is sacrificed,
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Archive '..the analysis for Russia and Ukraine was not only off, it represented the greatest strategic failure in analysis in modern history.'
'..all analysts do make mistakes. Certainly I am no exception. However in this case the mistakes were so grave and had such significant policy implications that they require particular study. This was not a case of just a normal error. As part of
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Archive 'Perhaps the most significant outcome of the 1982 Israeli invasion was the birth of Hezbollah .. Beyond Lebanon and Israel, there is the example of the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq, a lesson in the wages of unfettered hubris..
..
Beware of those who promise a new dawn, the birth of a new Middle East, a new balance of power in the region. Lebanon is a microcosm of all that can go wrong.
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Archive '..to understand how modern wars are won and lost, people need to look at the destruction of equipment before it reaches the battlefield—because such destruction is doubly valuable. Not only does is deny the enemy the use of the equipment/ammunition, it destroys it before it can ever be used. Destroying equipment on the battlefield means it could have been used before. Destroying it in the d
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Archive 'The detainees, the orphans, the traumatized, the homeless, will never return to what they were. The dead certainly will not. It will take generations for Gaza to recover, if it even can. This is genocide, even if it does not meet the legal definition. A country cannot live on such an ideology, certainly not when it intends to continue doing so.'
- Gideon Levy, Opinion | Israelis Mus
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Archive 'Roman Pohorily, an analyst and co-founder of the Deep State map that monitors the latest frontline developments in Ukraine, says Ukrainian troops have now pulled back from the village of Nevelske to avoid an encirclement.'
'We are not planning to advance towards the city of Donetsk any time soon, so why are we holding positions near Nevelske when we’re losing Hirnyk?” said the
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Archive 'Russia’s war of conquest in Ukraine has now been going on for two and a half years. It has turned into a war of attrition. One contributing factor is that military support from the west has been insufficient, delayed and burdened with too many restrictions. The ongoing incursion into Russian territory suggests, however, that, if provided with enough resources, Ukraine can assert itself on t
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Archive 'As long as Russia maintains a military presence on Crimea, Ukraine will never be fully safe..'
- Ben Hodges, (The liberation of Crimea.., April 3, 2023)
'The ultimate fate of the future of Crimea is arguably the foundational issue of the Russo-Ukraine War. Vladimir Putin coveted Crimea for long before 2014, and illegally seizing Crimea was the first thing he did when he st
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Archive '..All three of these steps are overdue and would help the Ukrainian war effort regardless of who is elected president of the United States in November.'
'The first thing the U.S. should do now is help Ukraine stockpile weaponry. Rather perversely, the administration has actually under-delivered on the aid that it was supposed to give Ukraine over the past year. A few billion do
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Archive 'So Trump loves Orban’s peace plans and loves Kim—that is clear. What there was not at all in the talk was any equivalent praise for the Ukrainians, Europeans or even NATO. There was not a single mention of NATO in the entire address—the longest US acceptance speech in history. Basically Trump either doesn’t care about or actively despises those countries who have been long-standing allies a
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Archive 'Ukraine has the right under international law to attack military targets located in Russian territory, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said during an interview on the United News telethon on July 14.'
- (Ukraine defeats Russia) - Ukraine has right to strike military targets within Russian territory, Stoltenberg says
'WHO'LL WIN? .. Gen. Hodges argues that rath
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Archive 'This is clearly defined by international law. Since this is a war that Russia started against Ukraine, Ukraine has the right to self-defense, and this includes strikes on the territory of the aggressor. This is absolutely clear to me.' - Stoltenberg
'Ukraine has the right under international law to attack military targets located in Russian territory, NATO Secretary General Jen
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Archive '..Many voice serious concerns in private, with only a few willing to publicly broach the subject .. But we don’t have to resort to history books to appreciate the critical importance of Bubble analysis. Japan still suffers the consequences of its eighties Bubble period more than three decades later. The 1995/98 collapses of the Mexican, Asian Tiger and Russian Bubbles were catastrophic. The
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Archive '..Ukraine needs to fight smart and on the defensive. If Russia is willing to expend its human resources in such an extreme fashion, Ukraine must adjust to that. Ukraine should try and keep its casualties down while extracting as high a toll as possible on Russia.
If Russia is willing to throw its future away, Ukraine needs to let it.
War is horrible—but in this case there is no altern
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Archive 'People always like to say they want peace. However, sometimes peace is not available, and a “peace” deal does not lead to peace. We are in such a situation now. Russia does not want peace on terms except for Ukrainian amputation and strategic degradation. All this would do is set up a situation for future war in Europe.
As sad as it is, if Ukraine wishes to fight (and it does), its up to
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Archive 'For the first time in American history, a former president has been found guilty of a crime.
A jury of his peers in New York unanimously found Donald Trump guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in order to influence the 2016 presidential election.'
- The historic felony conviction of Donald Trump, May 31, 2024
Context
'Trump has long believed, erro
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Archive 'France is planning to send instructors to Ukraine to train the military, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrskyi said on May 27 after a video meeting with French Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu.
The announcement comes after reports that some NATO member states are discussing the possibility of sending military instructors or contractors to Ukraine to train
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Archive 'NATO is discussing the possibility of taking control of the skies over Western Ukraine, reports BILD, citing its sources.
According to the publication, some NATO countries are ready to expand support for Kyiv and act directly on Ukrainian territory.'
- Phillips P. OBrien (Source, May 27, 2024)
'There is a figure that says there are 24,000 killed or seriously injured Ru
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Archive 'NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg was the latest high-profile Western leader to call for an end to the ban on Ukraine's use of Western-supplied weapons to strike targets in Russia in an interview with the Economist published on May 24.'
- The Kyiv Independent (Source, May 25, 2024)
'It is in America’s strategic interest that Ukraine defeats Russia. It will also
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Archive 'Madis Roll, the advisor to the President of Estonia for National Security, states that the Estonian government is "seriously" discussing the possibility of sending troops to the west of Ukraine.
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Estonian officials have voiced their approval of the idea of sending Western troops to Ukraine.'
- Estonia is seriously considering sending troops to Ukraine – advisor to
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Archive 'It is profoundly evil to forbid Ukraine from striking into Russian territory with the weapons we provide.
This is a land war between contiguous states. Hence we give the aggressor a systemic advantage.'
- Edward Hunter Christie (Source, May 13, 2024)
'Sent this out as soon as reports came in that Russians were attacking near Kharkiv. The answer to the question seems to
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