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'..If Western governments want to see more successes on the battlefield, providing Ukraine with more and longer-range missiles to continue denying Russia the freedom to move in Crimea would be a good place to start. Either way, Western observers should stop focusing only on the land war and put these remarkable Ukrainian achievements into the context they deserve. Otherwise, arguing in favor
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Archive '..Another critical characteristic of the earlier inflation era was frequent temporary reversals in inflation, only to be followed by new peaks..'
- (Global Stagflation)(Inflation out of control) - Inflationary Psychology Has Set In. Dislodging It Won’t Be Easy.
'High inflation has created severe financial pressures for most U.S. households, which are forced to pay more for
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Archive '“There’s this perverse feedback loop in play between what the government is doing and what the Fed’s trying to achieve,” says Vincent Mortier, chief investment officer of French fund manager Amundi
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The Congressional Budget Office projects the government will run a deficit of 5% to 7% of gross domestic product every year for the next decade. For context, from the end of the World War I
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Archive '..Another critical characteristic of the earlier inflation era was frequent temporary reversals in inflation, only to be followed by new peaks..'
- (Global Stagflation)(Inflation out of control) - Inflationary Psychology Has Set In. Dislodging It Won’t Be Easy.
'..If the Fed and global central bankers relax with inflation in the five to six percent range, it will likely sp
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Archive '..the United States is not focusing its spending on essential weapons and ammunition .. The United States has hampered its defense industry with regulations that don’t allow it to access economies of scale. Factories operated by allies abroad could help the United States build munitions much faster, and domestic businesses, especially those specializing in artificial intelligence and other
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Archive '(Bloomberg) -- Underlying US inflation is seen rising at a monthly pace that corroborates the message from central bankers that interest rates will need to stay higher for longer .. price pressures are nonetheless proving sticky..'
- US Core Inflation Seen Corroborating Higher-for-Longer Fed, October 8, 2023
'Bank of Canada deputy governor Nicolas Vincent says businesses r
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Archive '"What I think Ukrainians have done correctly is to focus their efforts on destroying artillery, destroying headquarters, destroying logistics," Hodges said.
"This is how you neutralize the only advantage the Russians have—the advantage of mass—by taking away their headquarters, taking away the artillery that's required to support them and make it difficult for Ukraini
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Archive “The chancellor must end his blockade of Taurus delivery,” said senior Green Party Member, Anton Hofreiter. “Hesitation and technical excuses contribute to strengthening Vladimir Putin’s belief that he can still win, and this prolongs the war.”
- Source, September 27, 2023
'Helping Ukraine win the war as quickly as possible is imperative..'
'Only when the United Kingdom
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Archive 'A retired colonel of the British army, Richard Kemp @COLRICHARDKEMP, had the opportunity to see the Ukrainian counteroffensive with his own eyes.
He has served in many hot zones around the world: Northern Ireland, the Balkans, Iraq, and Afghanistan. Here is his professional take on what’s going on on the frontlines. He warns that a ceasefire, as some are proposing, will not bring about the
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Archive 'And in September 2023, the @TheStudyofWar team began mapping the Ukrainian campaign for #Crimea.'
- Jennifer Cafarella (Source, September 23, 2023)
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The liberation of Crimea..
(Ukraine needs ATACMs) - '..If the United States can finally provide the weaponry to really force a showdown in Crimea..'
'Ukraine needs a fresh fleet.. Over 4,600 F-16s h
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Archive '..If the United States can finally provide the weaponry to really force a showdown in Crimea, the Ukrainians could achieve something that looks like victory; let’s hope that the Biden administration finally comes to understand this and acts accordingly.'
- Francis Fukuyama, Ukraine at War, September 18, 2023
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'Putin .. almost certainly is the worst ruler imagin
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Archive '..the (frankly bizarre) discussion that has been raging since February 24, 2022 – over whether someone worse than Putin would take over if he fell from power. This discussion is one of the regular tropes that has been used to warn against pressing Russia too much in Ukraine – as if pushing Putin out of power would result in someone or something worse.
This discussion has never made sense
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Archive 'I wrote to President Biden with my colleagues and urged him to provide Ukraine with the missiles its military needs to win. Not doing so will only prolong the war and cost lives.'
- Senator Tom Cotton (Source, September 16, 2023)
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'..the weather in the Autumn wont make the kind of difference in the Ukrainian counteroffensive..'
(Ukraine needs ATACMs) -
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Archive 'Good to see Budanov discussing how the weather in the Autumn wont make the kind of difference in the Ukrainian counteroffensive that people think. Thats exactly what @MBielieskov said in our podcase released on Thursday.'
- Phillips P. OBrien (Source, September 9, 2023)
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'The Future Is Being Decided in Ukraine.' - Ukraine’s fall offensive will be predomina
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Archive '..U.S. officials should make it clear that if Putin continues to attack civilians and the infrastructure they depend on, the United States will incrementally remove restrictions, including those that currently prevent Ukraine from taking proportional, discriminate action on Russian soil in response to Russian attacks on Ukrainian soil.'
'In Putin’s nearly quarter century of rul
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Archive 'Meanwhile, Cmoc said Canada wants to ramp up its role in anti-corruption projects in Ukraine, such as through training judges and forensic auditors.
“They recognize this is a very important reform; they know that this is one of the stipulations for EU accession,” she said.
“We challenge Ukraine; we support Ukraine.” '
- Canada’s envoy to Ukraine says Canadian support will outl
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Archive '..inflationary forces have taken hold..'
'After all, inflationary forces have taken hold throughout the U.S. economy. It would now require a significant tightening of financial conditions to quash the unfolding inflationary cycle. Recent tempering of wage gains doesn’t negate the strongest compensation momentum in decades. Importantly, labor markets remain sufficiently tight to
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Archive 'Another element of Western strategy is identifying the key operational and institutional problems requiring support. The United States may need to accept that its doctrine for highly complex air-land warfare is not fully suited to Ukraine. This fact does not mean that combined-arms warfare is not effective. But NATO needs to lead a rapid reevaluation of its doctrine now to develop the tacti
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Archive '..The Ukrainians are fighting for their very existence against a power that is trying to deny their whole culture and history, who is abducting their children and who has committed countless atrocities against them. Normally the Ukrainians go to great lengths to assure everyone of the their gratitude for the aid they receive. (tbh, I think states that ask for this gratitude are being pathet
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Archive '..Europe would have to expand its manufacturing capacities both for ammunition and other nuts-and-bolts military needs and for the more advanced systems, such as long-range missiles, that it would have to supply on its own. .. European military officials need to quietly ask their Ukrainian counterparts what the latter would need that the former could supply if American assistance wanes, and
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Archive '..Moscow’s determination to obliterate Ukraine and its history far exceeds the collective intensity of Israel’s adversaries.
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If the transatlantic community consigns Kyiv to the Israel model, Ukraine will be left indefinitely in the gray zone of insecurity that has repeatedly catalyzed Putin’s hegemonic ambitions into violent actions. Ukraine would have to consider its options. Rega
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Archive 'Central bankers tend to more closely monitor a measure of core inflation that strips out volatile food and fuel prices to give a clearer sense of the underlying price trend. That measure also climbed, coming in at 4.2 percent after 4.1 percent in June.'
- 'Overall inflation climbed to 3.3 percent..' August 31, 2023
'(Bloomberg) -- Euro-area inflation stopped slow
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Archive '..The world must understand that Russia is unlikely to escalate the war if transport vessels under NATO or EU protection cross the Black Sea.'
'The number of threats with no clear pattern is reminiscent of the Russian disinformation strategy of maskirovka: the use of deception, intimidation, and disinformation to bewilder the enemy. In recent years, political observers have rec
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Archive 'Indecision and failure to push back against Putin over the past decades has led to this crisis. For years, Western leaders acquiesced to Putin’s threats, bluster and bullying. As many Russia-watchers have argued for years, Putin’s threats are hollow. The tired notion that the West should avoid humiliating Putin — as French President Emmanuel Macron has said — has worked to Putin’s benefit.
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Archive '..Providing more aid to Ukraine won’t significantly raise the risk of a wider war — but it could shorten the existing conflict.'
'Even more urgent than the F-16s, Breedlove told me, is the provision of ATACMS. Its rockets could be fired from the same launchers as the HIMARS system that the Ukrainians already possess. “It would take less than a day to incorporate into their figh
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Archive 'Dan Rice is correct. Get the M26 cluster munition for HIMARS into the counter-fire fight to destroy Russian artillery and sever the "land bridge" as HIMARS get in range. And the US has huge amounts of these available.'
- Ben Hodges (Source, August 26, 2023)
'But what Kyiv's military needs now are DPICMs for HIMARS in the form of M26 or M26A1 rockets, Rice s
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Archive 'BS excuse from "official". They haven't even asked Manufacturer to increase production.
"Pentagon continues to resist (UKR requests) because officials fear US doesn’t have enough ATACMS to supply UKR without undercutting its own readiness for any future conflict with China."'
- Ben Hodges (Source, August 28, 2023)
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(The Wall Street Journ
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Archive '..American officers appear to have unrealistic expectations of what a single counteroffensive operation can achieve. The U.S. should be focused on helping Ukraine fight the war the way it wants to fight, not chirping from the sidelines.
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..U.S. military experts appear to want the Ukrainians to hold on all other fronts and focus on a single thrust toward Melitopol.
Such advice is
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Archive '..In the meantime, everything focuses on those 7-10km advances from Robotyne and other frontline areas. As always, the fighting and the dying will be done by Ukrainians, but the West absolutely must ensure that there are sufficient rocket artillery systems, ammunition, and support to do the job.'
- Jan Kallberg, Ukraine — Victory Is Closer Than You Think, August 23, 2023
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Archive 'Its amazing that Mykola’s clear and logical analyses are rarely quoted in the major western press, whereas failed analysts who have consistently overrated Russian capabilities and damned Ukrainian ones, get mentioned all the time.'
'The one good story to come out of this desperate need to claim credit in Washington and London is that there is now a real awareness that the Ukrai
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